Read this article in German. Once again, the continent is on the threshold of a debate about rearmament. And they have little reason to want new American missiles. Both in Europe and in Asia, the current American administration faces an aggressive struggle against major revanchist powers. In both cases, according to the latest US strategy documents, the US is in danger of being left behind militarily.
From an American point of view, the threat level in Europe has changed significantly since the Russian invasion of Crimea: Russia is ignoring international rules and will not hesitate to use direct force. In case of doubt — as many American security experts fear — Russia could also seek an open conflict with NATO, as Moscow has significantly more nuclear weapons in Europe than the US does.
According to American fears, Beijing could use these weapons to keep the superior US maritime presence away from the disputed island areas of the South China Sea. The freedom of movement of American and other ships in East Asian waters would be increasingly called into question. Before a renewed debate about rearmament and another missile race become a European reality, new American INF missiles would first have to be developed and built.
This would take an estimated two to three years; a research programme for this purpose was already initiated at the Pentagon in Only then the delicate question of deployment would follow. But if certain allies vehemently reject redeployment and others push ahead for it, then that would be fatal for NATO — and a feast for Putin.
If the coming months bring no surprising diplomatic breakthroughs, the Europeans will need to prepare for turbulent years. Even in East Asia an arms race poses a threat. Under no circumstances would South Korea allow their cautious thaw in bilateral relations with the North be botched by the placement of new missiles.
